Bishop Chatard
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #18
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #9
Noblesville Regional Rank #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.6%
Advance to State Finals 5.2%
Advance to Semi-State 58.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Indiana All-Catholic Golden Spike Invitational Culver Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 360 634 575 658 590 631 431 382 326
Team Adjusted Rating 420 388 479 422 454 431 382 326
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Circle City Conference Indiana All-Catholic Golden Spike Invitational Culver Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
61  Max Bourgeois 11 16:20 16:07 17:12 16:31 16:11 16:36
120  Davis Falcon 12 16:41 16:55 16:23 16:35 16:54 16:39 16:55 16:37 16:46 16:33
126  Jd Haines 10 16:44 16:49 17:09 16:47 17:02 16:41 16:49 16:31 16:30 16:49
132  Ian Kolbus 11 16:45 16:59 16:41 16:45 17:07 16:58 17:05 16:35 16:38 16:36
489  Aaron Loiselle 12 17:43 18:03 18:23 18:05 18:29 18:24 18:23 18:14 18:04 17:33
1,198  Alec Clements 9 18:43 19:11 18:50 18:44 18:43 18:43 18:32
1,265  Eli Hummel 10 18:49 18:27 19:00 19:01 18:36 18:51 18:54 18:30 18:56
Jack Dixon 12 20:01 19:59 19:48 20:12 19:43 19:57 20:14 20:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 5.2% 10.6 317 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 58.6% 8.3 250 0.0 0.7 4.5 13.7 14.6 12.6 8.5 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 5.2 138 0.1 1.7 25.6 31.2 33.4 8.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 62 5.4 87.5 7.1 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Bourgeois 50.8% 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 48.1% 50.6%
Davis Falcon 6.7% 77.6 1.6% 2.7%
Jd Haines 5.9% 82.8 0.7% 1.4%
Ian Kolbus 5.6% 85.9 0.4% 1.0%
Aaron Loiselle 5.2% 171.1 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Clements 5.2% 203.8 0.0% 0.0%
Eli Hummel 5.2% 204.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Bourgeois 100% 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.5 100.0% 100.0%
Davis Falcon 97.0% 52.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 92.7% 96.7%
Jd Haines 95.2% 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 88.3% 94.6%
Ian Kolbus 93.8% 56.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.1% 93.0%
Aaron Loiselle 58.6% 116.2 0.0% 0.2%
Alec Clements 58.6% 165.2 0.0% 0.0%
Eli Hummel 58.6% 167.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Bourgeois 100% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.3 4.7 6.7 8.2 8.5 8.8 9.3 8.4 7.1 6.1 5.5 4.7 4.3 3.2 2.9 2.0 1.7 100.0%
Davis Falcon 100% 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.9 4.8 5.2 5.6 6.4 7.4 100.0%
Jd Haines 100% 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.7 5.3 6.2 100.0%
Ian Kolbus 100% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.4 3.8 5.0 5.4 100.0%
Aaron Loiselle 100% 56.2 99.8%
Alec Clements 100% 83.7 10.7%
Eli Hummel 100% 85.2 5.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Bourgeois 4.4 0.1 0.9 38.1 28.6 17.1 8.7 4.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Davis Falcon 8.8 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.1 11.1 15.1 16.9 16.2 13.6 9.2 5.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jd Haines 9.6 0.1 1.6 4.4 7.4 11.3 14.6 16.5 17.0 14.0 8.6 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ian Kolbus 10.1 0.0 1.1 3.1 6.3 9.4 13.0 15.9 17.5 16.0 12.2 3.7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aaron Loiselle 26.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.9 3.2 3.5 4.2 5.3 6.1 7.2 7.3
Alec Clements 45.6
Eli Hummel 47.4